Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0x433587daba653f972f1bf49d41712ff02a0e73196c3a498a1e9d8e80c6587861

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $2.00M total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $2.00M · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 3/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$2.00M

CLOB

Traders

2,215

25,967 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

6 shown

NOBUY2026-09-25 17:47:33

100.1¢$27

NOBUY2026-09-25 17:47:33

100000.0¢$27

—BUY2026-08-29 03:14:46

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-29 03:14:46

100000.0¢$171

NOBUY2026-08-26 01:14:37

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb36b…7804	$204	$204	$0	$-204
0x96df…21e8	$171	$0	$171	$170
0x5fee…af3a	$54	$27	$27	$0
0x1609…7b3d	$12	$6	$6	$0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x41b4…dad2	487	$301.9k	$268.6k	2
0x152f…a549	119	$244.5k	$218.2k	1
0xde7b…5f4b	6	$95.1k	$-95.1k	1
0xdf70…5e92	80	$62.9k

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