0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?” trades at 96% YES on Polymarket with $2.12M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 96.2% · CLOB volume $2.12M · whales 24h net $89 (5 wallets) · 7d net $11.6k · 3/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
96.2%
Yes
Implied No
3.8%
No
Volume
$2.12M
CLOB
Traders
4,033
34,911 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
96.3% → 96.0% (-0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$89
Buy
$182
Sell
$92
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.6k
Buy
$41.0k
Sell
$29.4k
Whales
138
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | $125.4k | $7.4k | $117.9k | $110.5k |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $38.7k | $25.0k | $13.7k | $-11.2k |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | $30.1k | $30.1k | $0 | $-30.1k |
| 0xa2b4…3daa | $27.2k | $14.1k | $13.1k | $-939 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | 487 | $301.9k | $268.6k | 2 |
| 0x152f…a549 | 119 | $244.5k | $218.2k | 1 |
| 0xde7b…5f4b | 6 | $95.1k | $-95.1k | 1 |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 80 | $62.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 23 total · Event board
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.12M
96.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $3.24M
3.6%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $4.81M
0.1%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $2.00M
0.1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.95M
0.1%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.83M
0.1%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.80M
0.1%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.78M
0.1%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.77M
0.1%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.75M
0.1%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.62M
0.1%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.55M
0.1%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.50M
0.1%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.40M
0.1%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.37M
0.1%
| 0x122c…fbed | $25.6k | $13.2k | $12.4k | $-734 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $22.9k | $22.6k | $319 | $-22.2k |
| 0x052f…53fb | $20.7k | $20.7k | $0 | $-20.7k |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $18.6k | $18.5k | $195 | $-18.3k |
| 0x39a5…87f2 | $12.1k | $6.2k | $5.9k | $-276 |
| 0x8b36…a393 | $10.2k | $10.2k | $0 | $-10.2k |
| 0x9cdd…3e97 | $10.0k | $5.1k | $4.9k | $-243 |
| 0x1f0a…f7aa | $8.8k | $7.9k | $939 | $-6.9k |
| $-35.3k |
| 2 |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | 7 | $53.9k | $-53.9k | 2 |
| 0x052f…53fb | 4 | $52.3k | $-52.3k | 2 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 89 | $45.4k | $-30.0k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 318 | $44.2k | $-2.0k | 2 |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | 76 | $38.9k | $-35.6k | 2 |
| 0xa30e…49d5 | 70 | $38.5k | $-12.6k | 2 |
