0x1e5564c1a2a6839cc2780a889437c63786a2c2ec5e95569b710ee659a3e8baa2
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $2.53M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $2.53M · whales 24h net $1.6k (6 wallets) · 7d net $12.3k · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.0%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$2.53M
CLOB
Traders
1,704
14,119 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.1% → 3.1% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.6k
Buy
$1.9k
Sell
$275
Whales
6
Last 7 days
Net flow
$12.3k
Buy
$27.2k
Sell
$14.9k
Whales
42
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe734…4f0c | $352.0k | $198.8k | $153.2k | $-45.6k |
| 0x1465…7072 | $195.3k | $194.8k | $572 | $-194.2k |
| 0x0f58…0ff0 | $125.6k | $66.2k | $59.4k | $-6.9k |
| 0x42d1…dab6 | $85.2k | $78.6k | $6.6k | $-72.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe734…4f0c | 1,292 | $2.62M | $-1.53M | 18 |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | 1,890 | $1.41M | $-1.41M | 29 |
| 0x1465…7072 | 385 | $1.22M | $-1.06M | 11 |
| 0xcc50…4c82 | 2,359 | $1.18M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
28 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $1.54M
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $1.12M
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $921.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $775.6k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $680.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $274.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $257.8k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $137.4k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $44.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $43.9k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $23.2k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $15.2k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $12.4k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $268.5k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.26M
64.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $891.8k
44.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $3.77M
30.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.96M
13.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.14M
11.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $6.52M
7.5%
| 0xafa2…0611 | $76.7k | $71.0k | $5.8k | $-65.2k |
| 0x8b4b…541b | $59.2k | $41.6k | $17.6k | $-24.0k |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | $40.2k | $40.2k | $0 | $-40.2k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $36.1k | $29.6k | $6.4k | $-23.2k |
| 0x94d7…b8e0 | $33.3k | $16.0k | $17.2k | $1.2k |
| 0xcc50…4c82 | $25.1k | $11.8k | $13.3k | $1.4k |
| 0x86ab…e5be | $24.6k | $24.6k | $0 | $-24.6k |
| 0x8f14…1e77 | $21.9k | $10.8k | $11.1k | $250 |
| $12.7k |
| 13 |
| 0x56ad…f13e | 842 | $1.11M | $-397.0k | 9 |
| 0x6ad9…8d2e | 126 | $1.04M | $-334.5k | 1 |
| 0x716d…4206 | 303 | $840.8k | $19.4k | 1 |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | 790 | $731.4k | $24.5k | 26 |
| 0xa19c…de6b | 331 | $722.8k | $53.5k | 15 |
| 0x8b4b…541b | 401 | $536.4k | $-402.4k | 17 |
