0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?” trades at 55% YES on Polymarket with $356.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 54.5% · CLOB volume $356.3k · whales 24h net $6.1k (27 wallets) · 7d net $23.4k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
54.5%
Yes
Implied No
45.5%
No
Volume
$356.3k
CLOB
Traders
899
4,623 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
58.0% → 55.0% (-3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.1k
Buy
$17.0k
Sell
$10.9k
Whales
27
Last 7 days
Net flow
$23.4k
Buy
$53.6k
Sell
$30.3k
Whales
83
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $73.5k | $43.5k | $29.9k | $-13.6k |
| 0x1fee…ed5e | $42.7k | $28.1k | $14.5k | $-13.6k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $32.2k | $31.3k | $859 | $-30.5k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $26.7k | $18.0k | $8.7k | $-9.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1fee…ed5e | 276 | $117.7k | $-57.6k | 2 |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | 133 | $108.0k | $-22.2k | 2 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 98 | $83.5k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 116 | $60.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
open · $356.3k
54.5%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
open · $402.8k
45.5%
| 0x122c…fbed | $14.9k | $8.3k | $6.6k | $-1.7k |
| 0xf440…b009 | $14.0k | $8.4k | $5.6k | $-2.8k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $13.6k | $8.3k | $5.3k | $-3.0k |
| 0x600e…7aac | $10.9k | $5.3k | $5.6k | $334 |
| 0xa8b7…ee3c | $10.1k | $10.1k | $0 | $-10.1k |
| 0xa20c…451a | $10.0k | $7.1k | $3.0k | $-4.1k |
| 0xdb97…eee8 | $9.9k | $5.2k | $4.7k | $-467 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $9.6k | $9.6k | $0 | $-9.6k |
| $-58.3k |
| 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 162 | $38.9k | $-12.3k | 2 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 12 | $28.2k | $1.1k | 1 |
| 0x600e…7aac | 69 | $28.0k | $2.9k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 108 | $21.6k | $-2.2k | 2 |
| 0xf1f9…1245 | 33 | $20.2k | $-14.0k | 2 |
| 0xeb22…808a | 29 | $19.2k | $-1.0k | 2 |
