0xd50c016598c499fceea10a1a714e48d9b4953487fe215daeaf916068fae722f1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?” trades at 46% YES on Polymarket with $402.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 45.5% · CLOB volume $402.7k · whales 24h net $6.4k (33 wallets) · 7d net $31.0k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
45.5%
Yes
Implied No
54.5%
No
Volume
$402.7k
CLOB
Traders
922
4,655 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
43.0% → 46.0% (+3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.4k
Buy
$18.9k
Sell
$12.5k
Whales
33
Last 7 days
Net flow
$31.0k
Buy
$73.0k
Sell
$42.0k
Whales
88
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1fee…ed5e | $75.1k | $59.6k | $15.5k | $-44.0k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $56.8k | $26.7k | $30.1k | $3.5k |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $34.5k | $21.6k | $12.9k | $-8.6k |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | $28.2k | $13.6k | $14.6k | $1.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1fee…ed5e | 276 | $117.7k | $-57.6k | 2 |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | 133 | $108.0k | $-22.2k | 2 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 98 | $83.5k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 116 | $60.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
open · $355.9k
54.5%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
open · $402.7k
45.5%
| 0x9648…6825 | $27.8k | $27.8k | $0 | $-27.8k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $25.3k | $17.3k | $8.0k | $-9.3k |
| 0x600e…7aac | $17.1k | $7.3k | $9.8k | $2.5k |
| 0xf1f9…1245 | $15.2k | $12.1k | $3.1k | $-9.0k |
| 0xeb22…808a | $12.2k | $6.2k | $6.0k | $-132 |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $10.7k | $8.4k | $2.2k | $-6.2k |
| 0xc624…ee24 | $9.6k | $5.2k | $4.4k | $-769 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $9.3k | $7.3k | $2.0k | $-5.3k |
| $-58.3k |
| 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 162 | $38.9k | $-12.3k | 2 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 12 | $28.2k | $1.1k | 1 |
| 0x600e…7aac | 69 | $28.0k | $2.9k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 108 | $21.6k | $-2.2k | 2 |
| 0xf1f9…1245 | 33 | $20.2k | $-14.0k | 2 |
| 0xeb22…808a | 29 | $19.2k | $-1.0k | 2 |