0x3fd189cac9280dfc49a07115581e8d4c9e0b7e1c1e8580a44e9ff3d74e39cf2d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?” trades at 28% YES on Polymarket with $572.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 28.5% · CLOB volume $572.8k · whales 24h net $7.1k (44 wallets) · 7d net $21.3k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
28.5%
Yes
Implied No
71.5%
No
Volume
$572.8k
CLOB
Traders
952
8,622 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
28.0% → 29.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.1k
Buy
$15.9k
Sell
$8.8k
Whales
44
Last 7 days
Net flow
$21.3k
Buy
$46.7k
Sell
$25.4k
Whales
107
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $80.1k | $45.6k | $34.4k | $-11.2k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $48.3k | $20.6k | $27.7k | $7.2k |
| 0xe899…0899 | $20.3k | $17.0k | $3.4k | $-13.6k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $15.4k | $8.3k | $7.1k | $-1.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 319 | $108.1k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 243 | $107.0k | $11.7k | 2 |
| 0xa52b…9480 | 38 | $63.3k | $-15.5k | 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 120 | $57.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $793.5k
72.5%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $572.8k
28.5%
| 0x0380…073d | $13.8k | $7.9k | $5.9k | $-1.9k |
| 0x68c2…1711 | $13.5k | $11.3k | $2.2k | $-9.0k |
| 0x8aae…918c | $13.4k | $4.3k | $9.1k | $4.7k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $13.3k | $9.5k | $3.8k | $-5.7k |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7 | $13.1k | $8.0k | $5.1k | $-2.9k |
| 0xc021…1fa8 | $11.1k | $11.1k | $0 | $-11.1k |
| 0xfaa0…139c | $9.7k | $9.7k | $0 | $-9.7k |
| 0xc624…ee24 | $9.5k | $5.2k | $4.4k | $-800 |
| $-4.9k |
| 2 |
| 0xe899…0899 | 110 | $54.7k | $-38.8k | 2 |
| 0x1c14…0869 | 27 | $45.4k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 253 | $40.0k | $-12.9k | 2 |
| 0xf440…b009 | 28 | $36.8k | $-10.8k | 2 |
| 0xe52c…6924 | 17 | $35.5k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 110 | $29.5k | $-2.4k | 2 |
