0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?” trades at 73% YES on Polymarket with $793.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 72.5% · CLOB volume $793.7k · whales 24h net $19.3k (43 wallets) · 7d net $79.6k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
72.5%
Yes
Implied No
27.5%
No
Volume
$793.7k
CLOB
Traders
1,401
8,225 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
74.0% → 72.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$19.3k
Buy
$38.0k
Sell
$18.6k
Whales
43
Last 7 days
Net flow
$79.6k
Buy
$156.0k
Sell
$76.4k
Whales
180
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa52b…9480 | $63.3k | $39.4k | $23.9k | $-15.5k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $58.7k | $27.1k | $31.7k | $4.6k |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | $52.0k | $28.6k | $23.4k | $-5.2k |
| 0x1c14…0869 | $42.2k | $22.2k | $20.0k | $-2.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 319 | $108.1k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 243 | $107.0k | $11.7k | 2 |
| 0xa52b…9480 | 38 | $63.3k | $-15.5k | 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 120 | $57.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $793.7k
72.5%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $575.0k
28.5%
| 0xe52c…6924 | $35.5k | $35.5k | $0 | $-35.5k |
| 0xf440…b009 | $34.7k | $21.7k | $13.0k | $-8.6k |
| 0xe899…0899 | $34.3k | $29.8k | $4.6k | $-25.2k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $28.1k | $16.5k | $11.6k | $-4.8k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $26.8k | $25.8k | $992 | $-24.8k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $26.7k | $17.0k | $9.7k | $-7.3k |
| 0x8376…3d2b | $16.3k | $8.2k | $8.1k | $-134 |
| 0xab58…f788 | $15.7k | $9.8k | $5.9k | $-3.9k |
| $-4.9k |
| 2 |
| 0xe899…0899 | 110 | $54.7k | $-38.8k | 2 |
| 0x1c14…0869 | 27 | $45.4k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 253 | $40.0k | $-12.9k | 2 |
| 0xf440…b009 | 28 | $36.8k | $-10.8k | 2 |
| 0xe52c…6924 | 17 | $35.5k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 110 | $29.5k | $-2.4k | 2 |
