0x506a2f7a1aae43e74f04d412afdc5982f669c7274c26463da72c23b28b2a6004
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Iran full airspace closure by December 31?” trades at 25% YES on Polymarket with $400.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 24.5% · CLOB volume $400.5k · whales 24h net $9.3k (45 wallets) · 7d net $30.7k · 1/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
24.5%
Yes
Implied No
75.5%
No
Volume
$400.5k
CLOB
Traders
541
5,849 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.0% → 24.0% (-5.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$9.3k
Buy
$19.2k
Sell
$9.9k
Whales
45
Last 7 days
Net flow
$30.7k
Buy
$53.5k
Sell
$22.9k
Whales
93
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x187f…5fee | $56.4k | $32.9k | $23.5k | $-9.4k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $30.5k | $17.8k | $12.7k | $-5.1k |
| 0x52f9…e1c7 | $21.8k | $9.7k | $12.1k | $2.4k |
| 0x9e72…99c4 | $19.9k | $12.8k | $7.1k | $-5.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 259 | $146.0k | $-132.8k | 2 |
| 0x187f…5fee | 321 | $126.7k | $-42.4k | 3 |
| 0x57cc…882c | 246 | $103.6k | $75.4k | 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 563 | $68.5k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 7 total · Event board
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
open · $400.5k
24.5%
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
closed · $2.77M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
closed · $2.27M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
closed · $1.54M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
closed · $1.11M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
closed · $770.7k
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
closed · $252.2k
0.0%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $19.8k | $19.8k | $0 | $-19.8k |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | $18.6k | $7.9k | $10.7k | $2.7k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $18.2k | $18.2k | $0 | $-18.2k |
| 0xb51b…b4d9 | $17.7k | $10.9k | $6.8k | $-4.1k |
| 0x993c…6787 | $17.7k | $13.3k | $4.3k | $-9.0k |
| 0x401e…6fc9 | $15.4k | $10.4k | $5.0k | $-5.5k |
| 0x8a8b…375c | $12.8k | $8.4k | $4.4k | $-4.0k |
| 0xf797…0bf2 | $12.6k | $7.2k | $5.4k | $-1.8k |
| $-68.5k |
| 3 |
| 0xbf96…9942 | 133 | $59.9k | $-11.7k | 3 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 113 | $58.7k | $-44.1k | 2 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 179 | $50.9k | $-5.6k | 2 |
| 0xb37a…f1b1 | 212 | $50.1k | $-22.0k | 3 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 52 | $49.8k | $-30.5k | 1 |
| 0xc7e5…2d3a | 113 | $48.7k | $5.3k | 2 |
