0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 83.5% · CLOB volume $6.15M · whales 24h net $246.4k (194 wallets) · 7d net $2.36M · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
83.5%
Yes
Implied No
16.5%
No
Volume
$6.15M
CLOB
Traders
4,497
42,360 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
78.0% → 86.0% (+8.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$246.4k
Buy
$435.7k
Sell
$189.3k
Whales
194
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.36M
Buy
$4.57M
Sell
$2.21M
Whales
840
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbd04…fbb0 | $339.6k | $137.3k | $202.3k | $65.0k |
| 0xe234…304a | $329.1k | $193.6k | $135.4k | $-58.2k |
| 0xbaa2…2c73 | $313.8k | $186.3k | $127.5k | $-58.7k |
| 0xa65c…7997 | $312.9k | $192.5k | $120.3k | $-72.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbd04…fbb0 | 1,484 | $760.1k | $138.7k | 4 |
| 0xa65c…7997 | 998 | $561.5k | $-146.0k | 3 |
| 0xe234…304a | 1,147 | $507.6k | $-93.5k | 5 |
| 0x05ab…8145 | 2,425 | $494.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
open · $1.18M
89.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
open · $975.9k
86.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
open · $6.17M
83.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
closed · $4.29M
0.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
closed · $539.0k
0.0%
| 0xd20b…3a20 | $232.2k | $138.8k | $93.4k | $-45.4k |
| 0x7131…29cc | $229.7k | $139.1k | $90.6k | $-48.4k |
| 0xc84f…e0c5 | $224.5k | $120.4k | $104.1k | $-16.3k |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $223.2k | $157.1k | $66.1k | $-91.0k |
| 0x22e4…ef1c | $206.6k | $162.0k | $44.6k | $-117.4k |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | $196.0k | $116.3k | $79.6k | $-36.7k |
| 0xb100…6461 | $194.9k | $101.1k | $93.8k | $-7.3k |
| 0x401e…6fc9 | $174.6k | $123.1k | $51.5k | $-71.6k |
| $-140.9k |
| 4 |
| 0xc84f…e0c5 | 578 | $352.5k | $-1.3k | 2 |
| 0xbaa2…2c73 | 429 | $333.3k | $-71.0k | 3 |
| 0x401e…6fc9 | 1,637 | $328.7k | $-122.9k | 4 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | 1,347 | $319.6k | $-138.1k | 4 |
| 0x7131…29cc | 482 | $308.2k | $-78.9k | 2 |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | 706 | $294.6k | $-62.5k | 4 |
