Multi-outcome · 3 open · 2 closed hidden
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
Volume $12.19MTraders 5,762Trades 76,278
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xbd04…fbb04 mkts · $760.1k
- 0xa65c…79973 mkts · $561.5k
- 0xe234…304a5 mkts · $507.6k
- 0x05ab…81454 mkts · $494.1k
- 0xc84f…e0c52 mkts · $352.5k
- 0xbaa2…2c733 mkts · $333.3k
- 0x401e…6fc94 mkts · $328.7k
- 0x6d9f…97904 mkts · $319.6k
- 0x7131…29cc2 mkts · $308.2k
- 0x60a9…5a714 mkts · $294.6k
- 0xb100…64614 mkts · $287.2k
- 0xd20b…3a202 mkts · $286.3k
- 0x30e4…51024 mkts · $270.3k
- 0x7c3d…5c6b4 mkts · $252.3k
- 0xa8c6…44e85 mkts · $248.6k