Multi-outcome · 50 open
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $15.13M
20.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $11.58M
13.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $17.64M
11.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.34M
9.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.78M
9.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.59M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.01M
2.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.92M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.32M
2.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.99M
1.9%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.17M
1.6%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.13M
1.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
1.4%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.86M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.55M
1.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.58M
0.9%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $35.14M
0.9%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.04M
0.9%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $26.39M
0.7%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $25.86M
0.7%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.62M
0.7%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $15.36M
0.7%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.69M
0.7%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $28.55M
0.5%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.94M
0.5%
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