0x7ad403c3508f8e3912940fd1a913f227591145ca0614074208e0b962d5fcc422
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 20% YES on Polymarket with $16.83M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 20.1% · CLOB volume $16.83M · whales 24h net $2.6k (18 wallets) · 7d net $273.1k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
20.1%
Yes
Implied No
80.0%
No
Volume
$16.83M
CLOB
Traders
11,244
173,133 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
20.1% → 20.1% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$3.8k
Sell
$1.2k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$273.1k
Buy
$418.0k
Sell
$144.9k
Whales
155
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc2de…6781 | $453.7k | $237.8k | $215.9k | $-21.8k |
| 0xe372…eb38 | $222.5k | $139.3k | $83.1k | $-56.2k |
| 0x8628…6f0b | $134.4k | $106.9k | $27.6k | $-79.3k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $102.8k | $87.2k | $15.7k | $-71.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0x2e4d…f703 | $88.4k | $88.4k | $0 | $-88.4k |
| 0x9ba9…3ce9 | $86.2k | $61.7k | $24.5k | $-37.2k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $61.3k | $61.3k | $0 | $-61.3k |
| 0x49f2…d7b4 | $52.4k | $42.3k | $10.0k | $-32.3k |
| 0x2e5b…d992 | $41.6k | $24.7k | $17.0k | $-7.7k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $40.8k | $27.1k | $13.7k | $-13.4k |
| 0x7e31…454d | $35.2k | $26.5k | $8.7k | $-17.8k |
| 0x2da3…3895 | $32.8k | $25.2k | $7.6k | $-17.5k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
