0xea83bc4082ce1443330407c42792b9c58a2f7467cd845aeec5dd3885c7b40671
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $754.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.4% · CLOB volume $754.6k · whales 24h net $61 (2 wallets) · 7d net $30.5k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.4%
Yes
Implied No
98.7%
No
Volume
$754.6k
CLOB
Traders
193
998 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$61
Buy
$122
Sell
$61
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$30.5k
Buy
$31.1k
Sell
$649
Whales
14
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9f57…c930 | $56.5k | $28.3k | $28.2k | $-100 |
| 0xb220…b07c | $20.4k | $20.0k | $387 | $-19.6k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $18.9k | $18.9k | $1 | $-18.9k |
| 0x1e6a…9841 | $15.2k | $375 | $14.8k | $14.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0x0c0e…434e | $14.1k | $13.8k | $223 | $-13.6k |
| 0x3519…4182 | $13.4k | $8.9k | $4.5k | $-4.3k |
| 0xb573…9e44 | $10.1k | $6.7k | $3.4k | $-3.3k |
| 0xc164…ed74 | $10.0k | $5.0k | $5.0k | $-1 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $8.4k | $8.4k | $82 | $-8.3k |
| 0x612f…aa53 | $6.2k | $6.2k | $0 | $-6.2k |
| 0x5b72…bedd | $6.1k | $3.0k | $3.0k | $-1 |
| 0x16cb…2704 | $5.7k | $5.6k | $115 | $-5.4k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |