0xf232b565995e4b3a3e7fa6cef775eeff1cecd20ad7c013cb9fc8dadabfe279a9
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 13% YES on Polymarket with $13.86M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.2% · CLOB volume $13.86M · whales 24h net $5.0k (19 wallets) · 7d net $110.3k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.2%
Yes
Implied No
86.8%
No
Volume
$13.86M
CLOB
Traders
7,804
81,110 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
13.3% → 13.1% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.0k
Buy
$7.5k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$110.3k
Buy
$151.6k
Sell
$41.3k
Whales
102
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc2de…6781 | $73.3k | $28.1k | $45.2k | $17.1k |
| 0xb911…0d3e | $67.9k | $9.2k | $58.7k | $49.5k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $44.1k | $32.8k | $11.3k | $-21.4k |
| 0x9e56…4199 | $25.6k | $3.3k | $22.3k | $19.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,115 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,207 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
6.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.3%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $24.4k | $24.4k | $0 | $-24.4k |
| 0xc0df…8dad | $21.8k | $21.1k | $787 | $-20.3k |
| 0xde7c…c933 | $21.3k | $19.2k | $2.1k | $-17.0k |
| 0x54ab…e8f6 | $18.4k | $9.4k | $9.1k | $-314 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $17.7k | $12.5k | $5.2k | $-7.2k |
| 0x2da3…3895 | $16.5k | $11.1k | $5.4k | $-5.7k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $15.3k | $13.1k | $2.2k | $-11.0k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $13.2k | $13.0k | $186 | $-12.8k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,865 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,006 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 288 | $537.7k | $144.2k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
