0x4567b275e6b667a6217f5cb4f06a797d3a1eaf1d0281fb5bc8c75e2046ae7e57
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $18.55M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.1% · CLOB volume $18.55M · whales 24h net $6.9k (20 wallets) · 7d net $46.4k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.1%
Yes
Implied No
92.0%
No
Volume
$18.55M
CLOB
Traders
23,812
197,033 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
8.0% → 8.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.9k
Buy
$7.6k
Sell
$633
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$46.4k
Buy
$69.2k
Sell
$22.8k
Whales
100
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58dc…e95c | $58.0k | $52.0k | $6.0k | $-46.0k |
| 0x3d84…086b | $52.8k | $4.0k | $48.8k | $44.9k |
| 0xb4ee…cc59 | $38.4k | $21.9k | $16.5k | $-5.4k |
| 0x50f4…5e6a | $24.3k | $5.4k | $18.9k | $13.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $23.8k | $23.8k | $0 | $-23.8k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $23.6k | $23.6k | $0 | $-23.6k |
| 0xdd28…d7ff | $17.7k | $16.4k | $1.2k | $-15.2k |
| 0x6e2d…6130 | $13.4k | $12.5k | $978 | $-11.5k |
| 0x6f08…bfa7 | $13.3k | $13.3k | $0 | $-13.3k |
| 0xce44…3002 | $13.2k | $13.2k | $0 | $-13.2k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $12.9k | $12.9k | $0 | $-12.9k |
| 0x3b5d…8995 | $12.8k | $7.5k | $5.3k | $-2.2k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
