0xce9a5fa30fe74e323b4a8f15afbb0b7a41a537aa880779ddf7dee22223b2f34a
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $10.68M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $10.68M · whales 24h net $304 (6 wallets) · 7d net $3.7k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.3%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$10.68M
CLOB
Traders
11,635
113,782 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.2% → 1.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$304
Buy
$383
Sell
$79
Whales
6
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.7k
Buy
$11.2k
Sell
$7.5k
Whales
20
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $232.1k | $229.1k | $3.0k | $-226.1k |
| 0xc041…ba3f | $106.2k | $92.1k | $14.1k | $-78.0k |
| 0x8ac9…92d3 | $99.3k | $78.1k | $21.2k | $-57.0k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $87.1k | $55.8k | $31.3k | $-24.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0x7551…b6b1 | $67.7k | $2.0k | $65.7k | $63.8k |
| 0xc3b1…9792 | $54.9k | $45.0k | $9.9k | $-35.1k |
| 0x2c64…2099 | $39.1k | $38.7k | $413 | $-38.3k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $27.8k | $27.8k | $0 | $-27.8k |
| 0x4d86…1cb2 | $20.6k | $20.6k | $0 | $-20.6k |
| 0x849c…4009 | $19.8k | $19.8k | $0 | $-19.8k |
| 0x778b…4e2d | $18.8k | $341 | $18.5k | $18.1k |
| 0xcd29…fd24 | $18.6k | $9.5k | $9.1k | $-415 |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
