0x5969cbb46aca5319b19e19a3c6f63de098950b675bf268f30f4d035508da1957
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $7.59M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $7.59M · whales 24h net $80 (16 wallets) · 7d net $7.0k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.0%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$7.59M
CLOB
Traders
10,266
78,429 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$80
Buy
$161
Sell
$81
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$7.0k
Buy
$13.6k
Sell
$6.6k
Whales
82
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf97e…0034 | $108.8k | $3.5k | $105.4k | $101.9k |
| 0xcab5…21af | $66.6k | $4.1k | $62.6k | $58.5k |
| 0x52c2…0556 | $63.0k | $63.0k | $0 | $-63.0k |
| 0xed49…8783 | $53.4k | $51.8k | $1.6k | $-50.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0x9f0c…749b | $37.9k | $1.6k | $36.3k | $34.7k |
| 0xd64e…5516 | $33.2k | $33.2k | $0 | $-33.2k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $26.8k | $26.7k | $108 | $-26.6k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $21.6k | $21.6k | $0 | $-21.6k |
| 0xaa0c…a902 | $20.4k | $13.4k | $7.0k | $-6.4k |
| 0x69d9…a52b | $15.2k | $10.2k | $5.0k | $-5.2k |
| 0x0c26…d223 | $14.2k | $14.2k | $0 | $-14.2k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $12.9k | $12.9k | $75 | $-12.8k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
