0x2053d8515f1b8cbeea4ccdb56e60e89c2617e43a8660d95166b8e71d27865277
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $12.81M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.7% · CLOB volume $12.81M · whales 24h net $145.0k (75 wallets) · 7d net $168.2k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.7%
Yes
Implied No
94.3%
No
Volume
$12.81M
CLOB
Traders
14,538
127,548 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
9.0% → 5.7% (-3.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$145.0k
Buy
$176.0k
Sell
$30.9k
Whales
75
Last 7 days
Net flow
$168.2k
Buy
$216.8k
Sell
$48.6k
Whales
140
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $280.0k | $151.3k | $128.7k | $-22.5k |
| 0x95da…b238 | $66.8k | $41.4k | $25.5k | $-15.9k |
| 0x6cf9…9d9f | $61.5k | $43.1k | $18.4k | $-24.6k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $44.8k | $41.4k | $3.4k | $-38.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 6,391 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,368 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,224 | $1.26M | $-390.8k | 33 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,793 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.4%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.81M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.8%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
1.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $40.7k | $26.1k | $14.6k | $-11.5k |
| 0xfc12…18a9 | $30.5k | $27.7k | $2.8k | $-24.9k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $30.0k | $28.8k | $1.2k | $-27.6k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $29.0k | $24.7k | $4.3k | $-20.4k |
| 0xe4e0…f95f | $27.6k | $25.0k | $2.6k | $-22.4k |
| 0x91ad…a5ca | $27.6k | $14.5k | $13.0k | $-1.5k |
| 0x31a6…1528 | $26.5k | $24.0k | $2.5k | $-21.5k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $25.6k | $25.6k | $0 | $-25.6k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,877 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,100 | $1.01M | $-1.00M | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 501 | $621.7k | $-621.7k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
