0x9eb7ac1524fdacb46ceb8758454f0004c7b117eae76e6295852643644bb862c1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $7.96M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.8% · CLOB volume $7.96M · whales 24h net $5.8k (21 wallets) · 7d net $97.1k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.8%
Yes
Implied No
98.2%
No
Volume
$7.96M
CLOB
Traders
3,985
37,673 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.2% → 1.7% (+0.5pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.8k
Buy
$332.4k
Sell
$326.6k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$97.1k
Buy
$483.9k
Sell
$386.8k
Whales
79
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x52c2…0556 | $372.8k | $372.8k | $0 | $-372.8k |
| 0x2fd9…27a3 | $331.6k | $5.6k | $326.0k | $320.3k |
| 0x26f8…a969 | $169.8k | $81.1k | $88.7k | $7.7k |
| 0x0c26…d223 | $115.1k | $115.0k | $100 | $-114.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,114 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,206 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
5.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0xb93c…1c77 | $110.1k | $107.3k | $2.8k | $-104.5k |
| 0xc42e…edbd | $108.8k | $107.9k | $939 | $-106.9k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $61.2k | $1.4k | $59.9k | $58.5k |
| 0x6e2d…6130 | $51.1k | $1.4k | $49.7k | $48.3k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $28.9k | $28.8k | $133 | $-28.7k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $28.3k | $28.3k | $0 | $-28.3k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $26.7k | $26.7k | $0 | $-26.7k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $24.1k | $16.0k | $8.1k | $-7.9k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,005 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 267 | $532.3k | $139.4k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |