Multi-outcome · 10 open · 3 closed hidden
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
53.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
38.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
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