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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Active 176 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

0x2ef59a55bf60ef28edad3a6eaa6ea9bcecbafa721dc9d0d1e73eb2c74516debd

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?” trades at 33% YES on Polymarket with $178.2k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 32.5% · CLOB volume $178.2k · whales 24h net $510 (5 wallets) · 7d net $4.5k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

32.5%

Yes

Implied No

67.5%

Volume

$178.2k

CLOB

Traders

270

1,772 trades

Yes 32.5%No 67.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$510

Buy

$1.0k

Sell

$510

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$4.5k

Buy

$8.6k

Sell

$4.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($510)
•7d whale net still positive ($4.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 32.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:08:07

312.5¢$8

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:08:07

147.1¢$8

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:08:01

149.3¢$501

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:08:01

303.0¢$482

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:08:01

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc185…d1b8	$49.1k	$26.5k	$22.6k	$-3.9k
0xc58e…248b	$43.8k	$25.6k	$18.2k	$-7.4k
0x89d0…5a1e	$43.1k	$29.7k	$13.4k	$-16.4k
0x8d03…7de0	$31.6k	$19.6k	$12.0k	$-7.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	1,268	$116.8k	$344	5
0xbb98…6d3c	223	$101.0k	$-16.8k	3
0x7c3d…5c6b	324	$82.8k	$-21.2k	6
0xe234…304a	268	$78.3k

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