0xea73edf70a088c4939d28ef861eb45db380078ac9eede411608c774ced5e944b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?” trades at 53% YES on Polymarket with $2.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 52.5% · CLOB volume $2.9k · whales 24h net $21 (2 wallets) · 7d net $421 · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
52.5%
Yes
Implied No
47.5%
No
Volume
$2.9k
CLOB
Traders
23
66 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$21
Buy
$31
Sell
$9
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$421
Buy
$871
Sell
$450
Whales
21
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $938 | $615 | $323 | $-292 |
| 0xd950…ad1b | $264 | $264 | $0 | $-264 |
| 0x4522…20c5 | $184 | $90 | $94 | $4 |
| 0x66c6…24af | $174 | $60 | $114 | $54 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
51.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0x66be…1148 | $123 | $103 | $20 | $-83 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $95 | $95 | $0 | $-95 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $93 | $62 | $31 | $-31 |
| 0x84a6…29ce | $86 | $30 | $56 | $26 |
| 0xf3fa…7be3 | $82 | $82 | $0 | $-82 |
| 0x6ae6…c22d | $61 | $31 | $30 | $-1 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $59 | $59 | $0 | $-59 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $48 | $48 | $0 | $-48 |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
