0xbdab12a222060b29a0238cbfff86c5108a31ee492ee67be3f292f8697eea7d31
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?” trades at 38% YES on Polymarket with $3.0k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 38.0% · CLOB volume $3.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $460 · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
38.0%
Yes
Implied No
62.0%
No
Volume
$3.0k
CLOB
Traders
19
46 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$460
Buy
$979
Sell
$519
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe0d9…8483 | $856 | $389 | $467 | $78 |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $730 | $578 | $152 | $-425 |
| 0x51fd…4272 | $153 | $153 | $0 | $-153 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $115 | $115 | $0 | $-115 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
51.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0x66be…1148 | $51 | $30 | $21 | $-9 |
| 0x12b2…a11d | $42 | $30 | $12 | $-18 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $35 | $28 | $8 | $-20 |
| 0x02ce…4c88 | $32 | $10 | $22 | $12 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $28 | $28 | $0 | $-28 |
| 0xd426…334a | $28 | $8 | $20 | $12 |
| 0xcdff…6084 | $24 | $15 | $9 | $-6 |
| 0x48ee…008c | $21 | $21 | $0 | $-21 |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
