0x6c3f1009a0c91ba9f7aae44aeadf86863b0d433b60f7a090fd00c945019aa32f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $1.87M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $1.87M · whales 24h net $2.1k (32 wallets) · 7d net $45.9k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.5%
Yes
Implied No
95.5%
No
Volume
$1.87M
CLOB
Traders
4,851
30,779 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.9% → 5.2% (+1.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.1k
Buy
$18.4k
Sell
$16.3k
Whales
32
Last 7 days
Net flow
$45.9k
Buy
$102.8k
Sell
$56.9k
Whales
122
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5b0f…6d7b | $58.4k | $25.8k | $32.5k | $6.7k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $50.6k | $25.4k | $25.2k | $-217 |
| 0x7e52…00f5 | $49.8k | $27.6k | $22.2k | $-5.5k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $43.1k | $22.8k | $20.2k | $-2.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
51.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0xab19…4876 | $42.7k | $39.0k | $3.7k | $-35.3k |
| 0xd426…334a | $40.8k | $30.3k | $10.5k | $-19.8k |
| 0x0586…5dc4 | $40.6k | $29.3k | $11.4k | $-17.9k |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | $38.5k | $24.0k | $14.5k | $-9.5k |
| 0xde9d…f32b | $37.4k | $19.2k | $18.2k | $-919 |
| 0x7319…0299 | $36.0k | $19.4k | $16.6k | $-2.8k |
| 0xe234…304a | $35.4k | $19.4k | $15.9k | $-3.5k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $33.2k | $18.2k | $15.0k | $-3.2k |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
