Multi-outcome · 14 open · 17 closed hidden
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Volume $28.18MTraders 13,025Trades 343,766
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.15M
55.5%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.67M
21.3%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.45M
9.2%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $963.5k
6.5%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.78M
2.9%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $974.9k
2.5%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.67M
1.6%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $779.6k
1.1%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xd5b5…336429 mkts · $4.42M
- 0x511f…cbe128 mkts · $1.06M
- 0xc21e…021522 mkts · $1.02M
- 0xb687…aee528 mkts · $937.1k
- 0xe613…540e25 mkts · $866.3k
- 0xcbba…dbff15 mkts · $849.5k
- 0xb0c8…fe7f31 mkts · $749.0k
- 0x0a33…3a4f9 mkts · $530.6k
- 0xd6b6…342b28 mkts · $485.2k
- 0xd218…b5c928 mkts · $472.7k
- 0x5a21…931828 mkts · $411.5k
- 0x4eee…584129 mkts · $332.7k
- 0xc4d6…966b28 mkts · $312.0k
- 0xa5e3…4d7e28 mkts · $311.4k
- 0x6db9…4ab59 mkts · $291.5k