0x7034c00a24f9edbf325fd5a0b9a63412e469fc8cd2aa9b060fb5ba8e10d7ebef
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $4.05M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.6% · CLOB volume $4.05M · whales 24h net $63.1k (82 wallets) · 7d net $320.2k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.6%
Yes
Implied No
97.4%
No
Volume
$4.05M
CLOB
Traders
4,062
50,957 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.7% → 2.6% (-1.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$63.1k
Buy
$87.7k
Sell
$24.6k
Whales
82
Last 7 days
Net flow
$320.2k
Buy
$677.7k
Sell
$357.5k
Whales
313
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcb01…7dfb | $301.5k | $20.8k | $280.7k | $259.9k |
| 0x44f9…95f5 | $182.6k | $43.7k | $139.0k | $95.3k |
| 0x454c…bd22 | $142.8k | $134.7k | $8.1k | $-126.7k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $129.4k | $125.6k | $3.8k | $-121.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 8,691 | $1.39M | $-1.30M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 7,012 | $1.32M | $-542.4k | 11 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 7,849 | $1.25M | $-1.21M | 12 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 4,859 | $517.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $5.19M
49.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.67M
44.3%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.05M
2.8%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
2.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.69M
1.1%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.48M
0.4%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.26M
0.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
0.1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.11M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.23M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $919.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $904.2k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $753.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $713.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $494.1k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $446.0k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0xeb34…7268 | $115.6k | $111.8k | $3.8k | $-108.0k |
| 0x4755…4158 | $112.6k | $79.7k | $33.0k | $-46.7k |
| 0x8b01…24a9 | $95.8k | $95.8k | $0 | $-95.8k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $80.5k | $39.9k | $40.6k | $710 |
| 0xe734…4f0c | $68.8k | $68.4k | $451 | $-67.9k |
| 0x6268…6031 | $66.9k | $59.5k | $7.4k | $-52.1k |
| 0x60c1…0438 | $65.8k | $28.1k | $37.6k | $9.5k |
| 0x12b8…479c | $64.0k | $38.2k | $25.8k | $-12.4k |
| $-460.6k |
| 8 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 26,589 | $477.8k | $286.1k | 8 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 8,293 | $466.2k | $-194.6k | 13 |
| 0x0380…073d | 3,803 | $461.0k | $-367.4k | 13 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,333 | $444.5k | $-428.1k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 3,756 | $416.1k | $-415.6k | 12 |
| 0x4eee…5841 | 2,475 | $388.8k | $-371.0k | 9 |
