Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0x1bc81406764e3a1f4bb86c9bfe054f7c230902f40bcd7f682f6d79a2a0f7dc38

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $904.2k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $904.2k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $18 · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$904.2k

CLOB

Traders

563

15,940 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$18

Buy

$26

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($18)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-01 18:11:05

100.1¢$7

NOBUY2026-10-01 18:11:05

100000.0¢$7

NOBUY2026-10-01 14:40:02

100.1¢$8

NOBUY2026-10-01 14:40:02

100000.0¢$8

NOBUY2026-10-01 06:19:50

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc21e…0215	$68.2k	$68.2k	$0	$-68.2k
0xb05d…dcdc	$50.0k	$50	$50.0k	$50.0k
0xeb34…7268	$21.8k	$21.8k	$22	$-21.8k
0x13fa…954c	$10.4k	$10.4k	$10	$-10.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xeb34…7268	8,691	$1.39M	$-1.30M	13
0xa579…aad0	6,967	$1.29M	$-508.5k	11
0xa3a4…5106	7,922	$1.27M	$-1.22M	12
0x454c…bd22	4,778	$491.6k

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