0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $3.25M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $3.25M · whales 24h net $21.3k (51 wallets) · 7d net $251.7k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.5%
Yes
Implied No
97.5%
No
Volume
$3.25M
CLOB
Traders
3,724
49,609 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.3% → 2.5% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$21.3k
Buy
$36.7k
Sell
$15.4k
Whales
51
Last 7 days
Net flow
$251.7k
Buy
$430.0k
Sell
$178.3k
Whales
295
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $130.1k | $123.8k | $6.3k | $-117.5k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $114.6k | $111.8k | $2.8k | $-109.0k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $77.2k | $40.5k | $36.7k | $-3.8k |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | $76.2k | $9.2k | $67.0k | $57.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 8,691 | $1.39M | $-1.30M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 6,967 | $1.29M | $-508.5k | 11 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 7,922 | $1.27M | $-1.22M | 12 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 4,778 | $491.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $5.20M
49.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.67M
44.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.06M
2.6%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
2.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.69M
1.1%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.4%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.28M
0.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
0.1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.11M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.23M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $919.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $904.2k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $753.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $713.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $494.1k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $446.0k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0x8b01…24a9 | $75.7k | $75.7k | $0 | $-75.7k |
| 0x8245…ebed | $52.5k | $38.2k | $14.4k | $-23.8k |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $51.8k | $47.9k | $3.9k | $-43.9k |
| 0xcbf4…50e1 | $49.4k | $44.6k | $4.8k | $-39.8k |
| 0x25d1…9af7 | $47.8k | $47.8k | $0 | $-47.8k |
| 0x454c…bd22 | $47.4k | $29.7k | $17.8k | $-11.9k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $45.3k | $45.3k | $0 | $-45.3k |
| 0x0380…073d | $44.2k | $36.7k | $7.5k | $-29.2k |
| $-434.5k |
| 8 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 26,363 | $472.4k | $288.7k | 8 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 8,312 | $467.4k | $-195.4k | 13 |
| 0x0380…073d | 3,803 | $461.0k | $-367.4k | 13 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,326 | $442.1k | $-425.8k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 3,702 | $410.6k | $-410.1k | 12 |
| 0x4eee…5841 | 2,470 | $383.2k | $-365.5k | 9 |
