0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 49% YES on Polymarket with $5.19M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 49.0% · CLOB volume $5.19M · whales 24h net $19.9k (84 wallets) · 7d net $273.9k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
49.0%
Yes
Implied No
51.0%
No
Volume
$5.19M
CLOB
Traders
6,425
91,674 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
47.9% → 49.0% (+1.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$19.9k
Buy
$39.4k
Sell
$19.5k
Whales
84
Last 7 days
Net flow
$273.9k
Buy
$565.3k
Sell
$291.4k
Whales
435
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x44a1…bd21 | $135.4k | $135.2k | $211 | $-135.0k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $133.5k | $111.8k | $21.8k | $-90.0k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $124.0k | $123.5k | $457 | $-123.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $73.1k | $73.1k | $0 | $-73.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 8,691 | $1.39M | $-1.30M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 7,022 | $1.32M | $-543.5k | 11 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 7,893 | $1.26M | $-1.22M | 12 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 4,862 | $517.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $5.20M
49.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.67M
44.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.05M
2.6%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
2.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.69M
1.1%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.48M
0.4%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.28M
0.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
0.1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.11M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.23M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $919.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $904.2k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $753.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $713.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $494.1k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $446.0k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0x5c83…eceb | $69.2k | $30.2k | $39.0k | $8.8k |
| 0x8b42…063e | $62.3k | $24.5k | $37.9k | $13.4k |
| 0x9936…2c48 | $62.0k | $34.6k | $27.5k | $-7.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $57.4k | $34.7k | $22.7k | $-12.0k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $51.7k | $32.7k | $19.0k | $-13.7k |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $48.7k | $26.0k | $22.7k | $-3.3k |
| 0xdc76…7842 | $47.7k | $36.6k | $11.1k | $-25.5k |
| 0xee97…11e9 | $44.5k | $16.0k | $28.4k | $12.4k |
| $-460.6k |
| 8 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 26,589 | $477.8k | $286.1k | 8 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 8,312 | $467.4k | $-195.4k | 13 |
| 0x0380…073d | 3,803 | $461.0k | $-367.4k | 13 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,333 | $444.5k | $-428.1k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 3,758 | $416.5k | $-415.9k | 12 |
| 0x4eee…5841 | 2,475 | $388.8k | $-371.0k | 9 |
