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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Active 23 days left

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0x29ef2d589755bce48cd5c880ad51c2e814e56725f58232bc26d2f95e0ef7929a

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $446.0k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $446.0k · whales 24h net $2 (2 wallets) · 7d net $3 · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$446.0k

CLOB

Traders

251

4,905 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

$1.8k

Sell

$1.8k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

$3.1k

Sell

$3.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($2)
•7d whale net still positive ($3)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

10 shown

—BUY2026-10-07 10:08:12

0.1¢$2

NOBUY2026-10-07 10:08:12

100000.0¢$1.8k

—BUY2026-10-02 22:07:42

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-10-02 22:07:42

100000.0¢$1.3k

—BUY2026-09-30 15:43:33

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc21e…0215	$5.2k	$5.2k	$0	$-5.2k
0x2ede…f8ce	$2.4k	$2	$2.4k	$2.4k
0x4247…91c4	$1.8k	$2	$1.8k	$1.8k
0x419f…e853	$1.0k	$1	$1.0k	$999

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xeb34…7268	8,691	$1.39M	$-1.30M	13
0xa579…aad0	6,962	$1.29M	$-508.5k	11
0xa3a4…5106	7,893	$1.26M	$-1.22M	12
0x454c…bd22	4,776	$491.6k

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