0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 44% YES on Polymarket with $3.67M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 44.0% · CLOB volume $3.67M · whales 24h net $22.3k (74 wallets) · 7d net $364.4k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
44.0%
Yes
Implied No
56.0%
No
Volume
$3.67M
CLOB
Traders
4,771
58,852 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
44.0% → 44.1% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$22.3k
Buy
$50.6k
Sell
$28.3k
Whales
74
Last 7 days
Net flow
$364.4k
Buy
$763.1k
Sell
$398.7k
Whales
468
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $125.6k | $124.7k | $893 | $-123.8k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $115.1k | $111.8k | $3.3k | $-108.5k |
| 0xe734…4f0c | $87.9k | $77.0k | $10.9k | $-66.2k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $83.8k | $83.5k | $280 | $-83.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 8,691 | $1.39M | $-1.30M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 6,970 | $1.29M | $-508.6k | 11 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 7,945 | $1.27M | $-1.23M | 12 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 4,779 | $491.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $5.20M
49.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.67M
44.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.06M
2.6%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
2.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.69M
1.1%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.29M
0.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $3.25M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
0.1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.11M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.23M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $919.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $904.2k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $753.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $713.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $494.1k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $446.0k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0xc2e5…b3a5 | $83.3k | $22.3k | $61.0k | $38.7k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $77.0k | $40.9k | $36.1k | $-4.8k |
| 0x8b42…063e | $74.2k | $35.4k | $38.7k | $3.3k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $68.2k | $35.4k | $32.8k | $-2.6k |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | $55.9k | $48.1k | $7.8k | $-40.4k |
| 0x524d…4495 | $53.2k | $23.7k | $29.5k | $5.8k |
| 0x39bc…28e9 | $49.0k | $8.6k | $40.4k | $31.8k |
| 0x8f9f…ad0c | $47.7k | $22.6k | $25.0k | $2.4k |
| $-434.5k |
| 8 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 26,363 | $472.4k | $288.7k | 8 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 8,312 | $467.4k | $-195.4k | 13 |
| 0x0380…073d | 3,803 | $461.0k | $-367.4k | 13 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,326 | $442.1k | $-425.8k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 3,703 | $410.6k | $-410.1k | 12 |
| 0x4eee…5841 | 2,470 | $383.2k | $-365.5k | 9 |
