Multi-outcome · 42 open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.89M
45.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.01M
27.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.13M
3.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.02M
2.9%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.36M
2.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.50M
1.4%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.03M
1.1%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $18.76M
0.9%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.53M
0.9%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.89M
0.8%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.65M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.26M
0.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $5.98M
0.8%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.37M
0.7%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.25M
0.7%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $32.64M
0.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.68M
0.5%
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