Multi-outcome · 32 open · 10 closed hidden
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
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