0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 15% YES on Polymarket with $10.74M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.2% · CLOB volume $10.74M · whales 24h net $3.7k (21 wallets) · 7d net $18.5k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.2%
Yes
Implied No
84.8%
No
Volume
$10.74M
CLOB
Traders
15,827
140,427 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
15.2% → 15.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.7k
Buy
$5.3k
Sell
$1.6k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$18.5k
Buy
$31.4k
Sell
$12.9k
Whales
64
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x31a6…1528 | $151.5k | $87.4k | $64.1k | $-23.3k |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $55.1k | $8.3k | $46.8k | $38.6k |
| 0x95da…b238 | $53.4k | $47.8k | $5.6k | $-42.2k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $43.6k | $42.1k | $1.4k | $-40.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,846 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,646 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 798 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $39.9k | $29.0k | $11.0k | $-18.0k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $39.4k | $39.4k | $0 | $-39.4k |
| 0xcd2c…a30e | $19.6k | $4.5k | $15.1k | $10.6k |
| 0xffed…4706 | $18.2k | $15.3k | $2.9k | $-12.3k |
| 0x3084…5ec5 | $15.0k | $12.6k | $2.4k | $-10.2k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $13.6k | $10.1k | $3.5k | $-6.6k |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | $10.1k | $4.8k | $5.3k | $555 |
| 0x122c…fbed | $9.9k | $5.6k | $4.3k | $-1.4k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
