0x24258776d0a926b4550b0f213267b95ba0a7741fc972d0b3c2b5f6bf8ced2c50
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $6.15M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $6.15M · whales 24h net $295 (10 wallets) · 7d net $13.1k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.8%
Yes
Implied No
99.3%
No
Volume
$6.15M
CLOB
Traders
3,691
37,046 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.7% → 0.7% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$295
Buy
$329
Sell
$34
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$13.1k
Buy
$13.8k
Sell
$733
Whales
54
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $22.8k | $22.4k | $375 | $-22.0k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $18.8k | $18.8k | $0 | $-18.8k |
| 0xe274…ee86 | $18.5k | $129 | $18.4k | $18.3k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $14.9k | $14.8k | $59 | $-14.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,846 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,646 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 798 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x36a7…1aea | $12.7k | $12.7k | $1 | $-12.7k |
| 0x579d…c69d | $12.6k | $8.5k | $4.1k | $-4.4k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $9.8k | $61 | $9.8k | $9.7k |
| 0x91cd…ead3 | $9.5k | $9.4k | $66 | $-9.3k |
| 0x581e…99fd | $6.1k | $4.1k | $2.0k | $-2.0k |
| 0x743d…41ad | $6.0k | $4.0k | $2.0k | $-2.0k |
| 0x8f2b…ac5c | $5.7k | $3.8k | $1.9k | $-1.9k |
| 0x3d89…e368 | $5.1k | $4.5k | $646 | $-3.9k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
