0x895e01dbf3e6a33cd9a44ca0f8cdb5df1bd2b0b6ebed5300d28f8da7145145e4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $9.64M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.9% · CLOB volume $9.64M · whales 24h net $531 (10 wallets) · 7d net $22.1k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.9%
Yes
Implied No
98.0%
No
Volume
$9.64M
CLOB
Traders
12,786
126,136 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.9% → 1.9% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$531
Buy
$1.1k
Sell
$616
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$22.1k
Buy
$29.6k
Sell
$7.5k
Whales
72
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | $40.1k | $40.1k | $0 | $-40.1k |
| 0x812c…b7e2 | $27.8k | $18.0k | $9.9k | $-8.1k |
| 0x4a73…c046 | $18.5k | $9.9k | $8.7k | $-1.2k |
| 0x542a…a81b | $11.9k | $11.7k | $221 | $-11.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,848 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,653 | $1.80M | $-1.79M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 800 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x48ee…008c | $11.4k | $7.9k | $3.5k | $-4.4k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $11.4k | $1.3k | $10.1k | $8.8k |
| 0x8f2b…ac5c | $10.5k | $7.0k | $3.5k | $-3.5k |
| 0xa2a7…d9f9 | $8.4k | $5.6k | $2.9k | $-2.7k |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $8.1k | $176 | $8.0k | $7.8k |
| 0x6c8b…645c | $7.6k | $4.4k | $3.2k | $-1.2k |
| 0xe45f…5029 | $7.5k | $5.0k | $2.5k | $-2.5k |
| 0x849c…4009 | $7.4k | $7.4k | $0 | $-7.4k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,096 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
