0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $9.75M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.6% · CLOB volume $9.75M · whales 24h net $4.9k (10 wallets) · 7d net $18.2k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.6%
Yes
Implied No
98.4%
No
Volume
$9.75M
CLOB
Traders
11,228
87,976 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.5% → 1.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.9k
Buy
$5.1k
Sell
$221
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$18.2k
Buy
$28.6k
Sell
$10.4k
Whales
52
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x542a…a81b | $44.6k | $43.8k | $742 | $-43.1k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $23.0k | $23.0k | $0 | $-23.0k |
| 0xbd0b…ce09 | $15.6k | $10.3k | $5.3k | $-5.0k |
| 0x4372…6a96 | $14.8k | $13.5k | $1.3k | $-12.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,848 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,651 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 800 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x97da…eaf2 | $11.3k | $7.5k | $3.8k | $-3.6k |
| 0xa5b2…5fcd | $10.1k | $6.7k | $3.4k | $-3.2k |
| 0x0c26…d223 | $8.1k | $8.1k | $0 | $-8.1k |
| 0x241a…e7ca | $7.4k | $4.9k | $2.5k | $-2.4k |
| 0x6d76…73f3 | $6.2k | $4.1k | $2.1k | $-2.1k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $5.9k | $154 | $5.7k | $5.6k |
| 0x5739…5f1a | $5.6k | $88 | $5.5k | $5.4k |
| 0xd279…fd6d | $5.5k | $5.4k | $90 | $-5.3k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,094 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
