0x18b1c135d0a40c5894da9412e77311827d9caf16cf4cd6591b247a34730af919
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 49% YES on Polymarket with $15.78M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 48.5% · CLOB volume $15.78M · whales 24h net $1.9k (25 wallets) · 7d net $24.3k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
48.5%
Yes
Implied No
51.5%
No
Volume
$15.78M
CLOB
Traders
20,976
218,387 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
48.5% → 48.6% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.9k
Buy
$3.6k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
25
Last 7 days
Net flow
$24.3k
Buy
$46.9k
Sell
$22.6k
Whales
89
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $55.8k | $22.4k | $33.4k | $11.0k |
| 0xc6e9…0741 | $44.7k | $30.4k | $14.3k | $-16.1k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $42.4k | $23.5k | $18.9k | $-4.6k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $39.3k | $35.9k | $3.4k | $-32.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,846 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,646 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 798 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x8055…44c4 | $37.7k | $37.7k | $0 | $-37.7k |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $30.6k | $16.3k | $14.2k | $-2.1k |
| 0xa667…84fe | $15.1k | $9.0k | $6.1k | $-2.8k |
| 0xedcd…2507 | $13.8k | $6.5k | $7.2k | $683 |
| 0x4afe…db89 | $13.8k | $9.5k | $4.3k | $-5.2k |
| 0x608c…37d4 | $13.1k | $13.1k | $0 | $-13.1k |
| 0x051c…7b05 | $12.7k | $6.5k | $6.2k | $-327 |
| 0x3e6e…9338 | $11.4k | $11.4k | $0 | $-11.4k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
