0x5f3b3456b2d6ef0d6f15d7492162725057be78d738d2465456e2835f1d89046c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $9.37M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $9.37M · whales 24h net $196 (10 wallets) · 7d net $1.2k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.4%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$9.37M
CLOB
Traders
6,088
54,301 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.3% → 0.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$196
Buy
$285
Sell
$89
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.2k
Buy
$2.8k
Sell
$1.6k
Whales
54
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $177.3k | $90.6k | $86.6k | $-4.0k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $82.5k | $81.4k | $1.1k | $-80.2k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $68.4k | $14.5k | $53.9k | $39.4k |
| 0x1a85…c99a | $60.1k | $332 | $59.8k | $59.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,846 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,646 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 798 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0xc474…6061 | $47.2k | $47.2k | $0 | $-47.2k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $47.0k | $47.0k | $0 | $-47.0k |
| 0x7b01…2e4c | $40.2k | $200 | $40.0k | $39.8k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $39.0k | $19.4k | $19.6k | $177 |
| 0x2ef7…85ec | $33.4k | $13.3k | $20.1k | $6.8k |
| 0x801b…e036 | $27.2k | $27.2k | $0 | $-27.2k |
| 0x36f8…dd6a | $22.2k | $130 | $22.1k | $21.9k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $21.6k | $21.6k | $0 | $-21.6k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
