0x0ac23db1e56971022bc7e822b907a2466c618b34104ea72bc9fa95e41c86a9c6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $19.66M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $19.66M · whales 24h net $582 (13 wallets) · 7d net $19.1k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.5%
Yes
Implied No
97.5%
No
Volume
$19.66M
CLOB
Traders
7,783
85,727 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.4% → 2.4% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$582
Buy
$839
Sell
$258
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$19.1k
Buy
$129.2k
Sell
$110.1k
Whales
78
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa771…162d | $331.6k | $331.6k | $0 | $-331.6k |
| 0x41ea…7a3d | $261.0k | $3.8k | $257.2k | $253.4k |
| 0x5a0d…fa97 | $181.6k | $2.9k | $178.7k | $175.8k |
| 0x0026…aef7 | $91.7k | $90.3k | $1.4k | $-88.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,848 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,651 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 800 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x33ce…fcc0 | $63.7k | $63.7k | $0 | $-63.7k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $48.0k | $48.0k | $0 | $-48.0k |
| 0x612f…aa53 | $40.4k | $40.0k | $365 | $-39.6k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $39.3k | $26.1k | $13.3k | $-12.8k |
| 0xb687…aee5 | $39.2k | $39.2k | $0 | $-39.2k |
| 0xe196…549a | $28.7k | $950 | $27.7k | $26.8k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $27.2k | $13.7k | $13.5k | $-224 |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $24.3k | $903 | $23.4k | $22.5k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,094 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
