0x4273517fc8141d57ad1528ede46efdceebdb6a4da746d5de5bad216564209a1e
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $13.84M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $13.84M · whales 24h net $1.5k (9 wallets) · 7d net $26.7k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.0%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$13.84M
CLOB
Traders
23,932
135,949 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.5k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$1.9k
Whales
9
Last 7 days
Net flow
$26.7k
Buy
$42.1k
Sell
$15.4k
Whales
71
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x011f…1122 | $344.8k | $337.0k | $7.8k | $-329.2k |
| 0x275d…72e7 | $19.2k | $13.8k | $5.3k | $-8.5k |
| 0x8217…9299 | $16.5k | $6.3k | $10.2k | $3.9k |
| 0x0a16…76b2 | $15.2k | $9.8k | $5.4k | $-4.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,846 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,646 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 798 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x7480…66d3 | $15.2k | $10.0k | $5.2k | $-4.8k |
| 0x0ced…12b2 | $12.2k | $10.9k | $1.3k | $-9.6k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $9.7k | $1.4k | $8.3k | $7.0k |
| 0xcc29…7774 | $8.8k | $8.8k | $0 | $-8.8k |
| 0xd033…e0ff | $7.5k | $5.0k | $2.5k | $-2.5k |
| 0xfef4…28dd | $6.9k | $4.6k | $2.4k | $-2.2k |
| 0xb626…2138 | $6.4k | $4.8k | $1.6k | $-3.2k |
| 0xcb69…361e | $5.8k | $3.6k | $2.2k | $-1.4k |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
