0x4273517fc8141d57ad1528ede46efdceebdb6a4da746d5de5bad216564209a1e
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 2.8% · CLOB volume $13.02M · whales 24h net $-2.2k (44 wallets) · 7d net $841.3k · 42/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.8%
Yes
Implied No
97.3%
No
Volume
$13.02M
CLOB
Traders
23,470
132,255 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.4% → 2.7% (+0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-2.2k
Buy
$107.1k
Sell
$109.3k
Whales
44
Last 7 days
Net flow
$841.3k
Buy
$964.4k
Sell
$123.1k
Whales
69
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7d56…4950 | $697.3k | $678.0k | $19.3k | $-658.7k |
| 0x835b…118f | $200.6k | $31.1k | $169.5k | $138.4k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $87.1k | $86.5k | $656 | $-85.8k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $82.3k | $82.3k | $5 | $-82.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb687…aee5 | 8,561 | $2.50M | $-2.43M | 38 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 9,087 | $2.29M | $-2.26M | 34 |
| 0xa771…162d | 40,749 | $1.22M | $-1.22M | 24 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 225 | $1.11M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
42 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.89M
45.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.01M
27.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.13M
3.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.02M
2.9%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.36M
2.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.50M
1.4%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.03M
1.1%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $18.76M
0.9%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.53M
0.9%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.89M
0.8%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.65M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.26M
0.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $5.98M
0.8%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.37M
0.7%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.25M
0.7%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $32.64M
0.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.68M
0.5%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $27.96M
0.4%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.73M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.51M
0.4%
| 0x000d…758e | $70.6k | $1.1k | $69.5k | $68.3k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $66.5k | $66.5k | $0 | $-66.5k |
| 0xe2d1…7072 | $59.3k | $58.3k | $1.0k | $-57.3k |
| 0xb687…aee5 | $52.4k | $49.0k | $3.4k | $-45.6k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $52.1k | $33.1k | $19.0k | $-14.1k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $39.2k | $1.5k | $37.7k | $36.2k |
| 0x4d86…1cb2 | $33.6k | $33.6k | $0 | $-33.6k |
| 0xe821…b27e | $33.4k | $22.4k | $11.0k | $-11.4k |
| $-1.09M |
| 4 |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | 352 | $900.3k | $892.1k | 6 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,334 | $793.1k | $-779.9k | 15 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 3,822 | $792.7k | $-771.7k | 42 |
| 0x3e5b…073b | 21 | $776.1k | $-773.2k | 7 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 82 | $738.4k | $-699.3k | 3 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 5,375 | $613.6k | $-600.1k | 18 |
