0x4d4bceee5f59f75230c6438f69fc913a6da7afa4098ce0734655045c02a730fc
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $20.41M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $20.41M · whales 24h net $186 (5 wallets) · 7d net $677 · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.4%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$20.41M
CLOB
Traders
6,271
64,427 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.3% → 0.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$186
Buy
$273
Sell
$87
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$677
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$619
Whales
12
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1c14…0869 | $107.1k | $106.8k | $320 | $-106.5k |
| 0x66f9…adb9 | $33.9k | $33.8k | $101 | $-33.7k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $26.0k | $26.0k | $0 | $-26.0k |
| 0xb4cd…6e27 | $25.1k | $100 | $25.0k | $24.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 1,848 | $3.78M | $-3.78M | 14 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 2,683 | $3.44M | $-3.42M | 10 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 3,648 | $1.79M | $-1.78M | 27 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 800 | $1.47M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
32 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.78M
48.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.74M
15.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.84M
3.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.63M
2.8%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.66M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.64M
1.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.75M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.62M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.15M
0.8%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.09M
0.4%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $1.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.41M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.37M
0.4%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.77M
0.4%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.97M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.74M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.90M
0.3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.11M
0.3%
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $15.5k | $15.5k | $46 | $-15.4k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $12.2k | $12.2k | $0 | $-12.2k |
| 0x56d7…3d6b | $5.0k | $20 | $5.0k | $5.0k |
| 0x619c…3c43 | $3.8k | $2.5k | $1.3k | $-1.3k |
| 0x92c8…642a | $1.2k | $1.2k | $53 | $-1.1k |
| 0xfdff…d544 | $1.0k | $4 | $1.0k | $996 |
| 0x146e…ab0b | $1.0k | $1.0k | $3 | $-997 |
| 0x361e…9253 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $3 | $-997 |
| $1.06M |
| 6 |
| 0x39d3…963d | 638 | $1.19M | $-1.03M | 3 |
| 0x1cca…a1c3 | 359 | $1.07M | $1.07M | 3 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 298 | $977.4k | $-975.5k | 1 |
| 0xbeda…8bef | 85 | $955.8k | $953.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,091 | $692.0k | $-561.7k | 21 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 692 | $640.0k | $-639.1k | 7 |
