Multi-outcome · 19 open · 23 closed hidden
Next French Presidential Election
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xa3a4…510642 mkts · $10.18M
- 0x2106…4dea42 mkts · $2.51M
- 0xc21e…021526 mkts · $2.42M
- 0xb687…aee518 mkts · $2.09M
- 0x843e…d2f36 mkts · $1.14M
- 0x93fb…3e4a2 mkts · $756.0k
- 0x5e41…37451 mkts · $639.8k
- 0x3659…045129 mkts · $570.7k
- 0x8397…76c41 mkts · $500.6k
- 0x2252…17c35 mkts · $497.4k
- 0xeb40…174b6 mkts · $404.7k
- 0xbefa…300d20 mkts · $389.1k
- 0x949b…b2853 mkts · $379.6k
- 0xc03c…50af41 mkts · $374.9k
- 0xa985…a0621 mkts · $356.2k