0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aa
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 43% YES on Polymarket with $3.38M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 43.3% · CLOB volume $3.38M · whales 24h net $16.9k (59 wallets) · 7d net $300.8k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
43.3%
Yes
Implied No
56.8%
No
Volume
$3.38M
CLOB
Traders
4,226
36,787 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
43.3% → 43.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$16.9k
Buy
$45.8k
Sell
$28.9k
Whales
59
Last 7 days
Net flow
$300.8k
Buy
$642.1k
Sell
$341.2k
Whales
282
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $383.6k | $373.4k | $10.2k | $-363.2k |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | $303.6k | $185.8k | $117.8k | $-68.0k |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | $290.2k | $90.7k | $199.5k | $108.8k |
| 0x970a…7016 | $163.8k | $84.5k | $79.3k | $-5.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,300 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $125.4k | $76.2k | $49.2k | $-26.9k |
| 0xeb40…174b | $107.4k | $41.0k | $66.4k | $25.4k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $64.2k | $63.3k | $872 | $-62.4k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $59.9k | $35.9k | $24.1k | $-11.8k |
| 0xd2cb…b9ea | $54.1k | $44.4k | $9.7k | $-34.7k |
| 0x264c…baca | $44.7k | $39.6k | $5.1k | $-34.6k |
| 0x94c4…43ca | $36.4k | $24.9k | $11.5k | $-13.3k |
| 0xa40a…fa62 | $35.6k | $11.4k | $24.2k | $12.9k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
