0x174ea87d011bfd0b230efc45e0b4d0756d38af91f0ffbab70013a582603c2be8
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 13% YES on Polymarket with $1.95M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 12.5% · CLOB volume $1.95M · whales 24h net $12.7k (17 wallets) · 7d net $122.2k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
12.5%
Yes
Implied No
87.5%
No
Volume
$1.95M
CLOB
Traders
2,222
19,746 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.0% → 12.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.7k
Buy
$17.0k
Sell
$4.4k
Whales
17
Last 7 days
Net flow
$122.2k
Buy
$199.4k
Sell
$77.1k
Whales
92
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $418.2k | $374.3k | $43.9k | $-330.4k |
| 0x2252…17c3 | $90.4k | $12.1k | $78.4k | $66.3k |
| 0x2cb0…6554 | $55.8k | $6.9k | $48.9k | $42.0k |
| 0x316a…c449 | $34.9k | $10.3k | $24.6k | $14.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,871 | $10.17M | $-9.88M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,634 | $2.51M | $-187.6k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,678 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,842 | $2.09M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.4%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $766.6k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.85M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $33.1k | $31.2k | $1.9k | $-29.3k |
| 0x611d…641e | $31.3k | $19.9k | $11.4k | $-8.5k |
| 0x4e05…8aba | $26.1k | $21.8k | $4.3k | $-17.5k |
| 0x4248…d43f | $24.3k | $2.8k | $21.5k | $18.7k |
| 0x09be…9c32 | $22.5k | $21.2k | $1.4k | $-19.8k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $22.4k | $17.9k | $4.5k | $-13.5k |
| 0xb524…0808 | $19.9k | $19.9k | $0 | $-19.9k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $18.7k | $18.7k | $0 | $-18.7k |
| $-2.09M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
