0xce610556ec78cfd7894f4169d91fe70e31c2fb49f927fffd7fe7d06530f88d56
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 12% YES on Polymarket with $4.11M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 12.4% · CLOB volume $4.11M · whales 24h net $30.1k (75 wallets) · 7d net $596.5k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
12.4%
Yes
Implied No
87.5%
No
Volume
$4.11M
CLOB
Traders
4,131
47,890 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.5% → 12.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$30.1k
Buy
$65.5k
Sell
$35.4k
Whales
75
Last 7 days
Net flow
$596.5k
Buy
$1.29M
Sell
$692.1k
Whales
314
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x93fb…3e4a | $452.4k | $429.7k | $22.7k | $-407.0k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $389.6k | $384.4k | $5.2k | $-379.2k |
| 0x0e8c…13aa | $201.1k | $18.6k | $182.6k | $164.0k |
| 0x8e89…c03b | $167.5k | $159.9k | $7.6k | $-152.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,871 | $10.17M | $-9.88M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,634 | $2.51M | $-187.6k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,678 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,842 | $2.09M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.4%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $766.6k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.85M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x5b63…11a4 | $137.9k | $14.3k | $123.5k | $109.2k |
| 0xb014…c6f4 | $120.6k | $110.0k | $10.6k | $-99.4k |
| 0x7d17…9df1 | $110.3k | $89.5k | $20.7k | $-68.8k |
| 0xa9c9…43d2 | $107.0k | $86.6k | $20.4k | $-66.2k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $95.5k | $66.2k | $29.2k | $-37.0k |
| 0x3ed6…1ba2 | $94.8k | $91.2k | $3.6k | $-87.6k |
| 0x970a…7016 | $79.8k | $10.0k | $69.8k | $59.8k |
| 0x6fb2…7adf | $76.4k | $60.6k | $15.8k | $-44.9k |
| $-2.09M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
