0x34ed4ad7a7825f168e1084f53e8f60a161579d783b2740e50aa52f710925a136
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $6.86M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $6.86M · whales 24h net $16.0k (13 wallets) · 7d net $116.3k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.3%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$6.86M
CLOB
Traders
6,695
59,028 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.3% → 0.2% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$16.0k
Buy
$16.1k
Sell
$95
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$116.3k
Buy
$159.9k
Sell
$43.6k
Whales
47
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | $409.6k | $409.6k | $0 | $-409.6k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $370.3k | $368.0k | $2.2k | $-365.8k |
| 0x7d17…9df1 | $209.1k | $22.2k | $186.9k | $164.7k |
| 0x2252…17c3 | $200.3k | $1.0k | $199.3k | $198.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,301 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x79c7…78a6 | $108.4k | $54.1k | $54.3k | $205 |
| 0x000d…758e | $100.1k | $100 | $100.0k | $99.9k |
| 0x3674…2fc6 | $59.6k | $397 | $59.2k | $58.8k |
| 0x8476…5418 | $39.5k | $29.5k | $10.0k | $-19.5k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $29.2k | $29.2k | $0 | $-29.2k |
| 0xfc53…9754 | $26.4k | $26.4k | $18 | $-26.3k |
| 0x43b9…5db9 | $24.0k | $24 | $24.0k | $24.0k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $19.9k | $19.9k | $0 | $-19.9k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |