0xa203cc908da0d417590e01f89fb651a335650d6b797da76ac28726d5f8c7610b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $2.27M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.5% · CLOB volume $2.27M · whales 24h net $7.4k (24 wallets) · 7d net $70.0k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.5%
Yes
Implied No
96.5%
No
Volume
$2.27M
CLOB
Traders
3,324
34,223 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.5% → 3.4% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.4k
Buy
$26.2k
Sell
$18.8k
Whales
24
Last 7 days
Net flow
$70.0k
Buy
$179.3k
Sell
$109.3k
Whales
134
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $379.0k | $374.0k | $5.0k | $-368.9k |
| 0x55f3…cada | $138.0k | $5.2k | $132.8k | $127.6k |
| 0x000d…758e | $80.4k | $4.2k | $76.2k | $72.0k |
| 0x9f42…e44e | $33.4k | $1.2k | $32.2k | $31.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,300 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x096e…9c9c | $27.2k | $931 | $26.2k | $25.3k |
| 0xaf68…e9a7 | $25.1k | $20.3k | $4.7k | $-15.6k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $25.0k | $21.8k | $3.2k | $-18.7k |
| 0xe45c…7430 | $24.0k | $1.3k | $22.7k | $21.3k |
| 0xc7e5…2d3a | $23.5k | $22.0k | $1.5k | $-20.5k |
| 0xe7a7…c11c | $20.5k | $945 | $19.5k | $18.6k |
| 0xfb4d…ef35 | $19.2k | $19.2k | $0 | $-19.2k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $19.1k | $17.9k | $1.2k | $-16.7k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
