0x46f2f457e14ee9021ebd0ef4c27eacd98fdceaf7f2938b484e2551e9e3275ae8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 18% YES on Polymarket with $1.98M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 17.5% · CLOB volume $1.98M · whales 24h net $12.2k (12 wallets) · 7d net $93.4k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
17.5%
Yes
Implied No
82.5%
No
Volume
$1.98M
CLOB
Traders
2,502
33,961 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
18.0% → 17.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.2k
Buy
$19.9k
Sell
$7.7k
Whales
12
Last 7 days
Net flow
$93.4k
Buy
$175.1k
Sell
$81.7k
Whales
101
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $407.5k | $372.7k | $34.8k | $-337.8k |
| 0xeb40…174b | $96.6k | $23.3k | $73.3k | $49.9k |
| 0xafac…8730 | $80.2k | $16.3k | $63.9k | $47.6k |
| 0x6f40…eb64 | $75.9k | $20.1k | $55.8k | $35.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,300 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x6ac0…55f3 | $41.6k | $9.3k | $32.3k | $23.1k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $40.7k | $35.4k | $5.3k | $-30.0k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $40.4k | $34.6k | $5.8k | $-28.8k |
| 0x0b71…27ec | $39.0k | $10.0k | $29.0k | $18.9k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $23.0k | $17.9k | $5.1k | $-12.8k |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $22.7k | $19.2k | $3.5k | $-15.8k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $19.7k | $3.4k | $16.2k | $12.8k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $16.2k | $10.1k | $6.2k | $-3.9k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
