0xcfc6e088b78e695e831e094f7aa1197c16b2436e5984b12fb9286361804b8e1b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $2.08M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $2.08M · whales 24h net $13.6k (9 wallets) · 7d net $95.1k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.0%
No
Volume
$2.08M
CLOB
Traders
2,509
29,948 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.4% → 1.0% (-0.4pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$13.6k
Buy
$14.1k
Sell
$557
Whales
9
Last 7 days
Net flow
$95.1k
Buy
$151.4k
Sell
$56.3k
Whales
49
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $380.9k | $374.0k | $6.9k | $-367.1k |
| 0x2252…17c3 | $46.0k | $1.1k | $44.9k | $43.8k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $41.6k | $873 | $40.7k | $39.8k |
| 0x6f40…eb64 | $31.7k | $14.1k | $17.6k | $3.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,301 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x4420…ea24 | $24.7k | $3.9k | $20.8k | $16.9k |
| 0x6fac…574e | $23.9k | $500 | $23.4k | $22.9k |
| 0x55d2…61ca | $20.2k | $5.6k | $14.6k | $9.0k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $18.9k | $15.1k | $3.8k | $-11.3k |
| 0x445f…29e1 | $18.6k | $480 | $18.1k | $17.6k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $18.2k | $17.9k | $293 | $-17.6k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $16.5k | $296 | $16.2k | $15.9k |
| 0x6538…9392 | $16.4k | $16.4k | $0 | $-16.4k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
