0x1166388a24a3f2a9bb0a45956bdb205c70f0ecafb8539e277a57adf022e306be
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $2.58M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $2.58M · whales 24h net $5.7k (9 wallets) · 7d net $138.8k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.9%
Yes
Implied No
99.2%
No
Volume
$2.58M
CLOB
Traders
3,641
30,500 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.9% → 0.8% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$14.5k
Sell
$8.8k
Whales
9
Last 7 days
Net flow
$138.8k
Buy
$254.6k
Sell
$115.8k
Whales
84
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $378.3k | $374.7k | $3.6k | $-371.1k |
| 0xeb40…174b | $143.6k | $82.6k | $60.9k | $-21.7k |
| 0xd52b…5c72 | $28.0k | $897 | $27.1k | $26.3k |
| 0x6dbb…3ff7 | $25.3k | $125 | $25.1k | $25.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,301 | $9.88M | $-9.59M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,414 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.98M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.42M
1.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x14d7…db87 | $21.1k | $19.6k | $1.5k | $-18.1k |
| 0x5eb0…5012 | $19.4k | $10.0k | $9.4k | $-537 |
| 0xc03c…50af | $18.2k | $17.9k | $320 | $-17.6k |
| 0x4917…4537 | $18.0k | $284 | $17.7k | $17.4k |
| 0x332e…55a6 | $17.6k | $5.8k | $11.9k | $6.1k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $16.5k | $235 | $16.2k | $16.0k |
| 0x8069…a58a | $16.1k | $10.5k | $5.5k | $-5.0k |
| 0xbc61…f0d8 | $13.6k | $9.2k | $4.4k | $-4.8k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
